Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/11452/21398
Title: Granger causality relationship between agricultural gross national product and agricultural exports:The Turkey case
Authors: Bursa Uludağ Üniversitesi/Ziraat Fakültesi/Tarım Ekonomisi Bölümü.
Erdal, Burcu
Vural, Hasan
Keywords: Agricultural exports
Agricultural gross national product
Cointegration
Johansen cointegration
Turkey
Issue Date: 15-Sep-2020
Publisher: Bursa Uludağ Üniversitesi
Citation: Erdal, B. ve Vural, H. (2020). ''Granger causality relationship between agricultural gross national product and agricultural exports: The Turkey case''. Journal of Biological and Environmental Sciences, 14(41), 55-60.
Abstract: This study aims to determine the long-term relationship between the agricultural gross national product and agricultural export in Turkey between the years 1998-2017. In the determination of the relationship, gross domestic product and the annual agricultural export data (1998-2017) were used. Initially, the unit root test was performed to identify long-term analysis. ADF method was used for the unit root test. In the long-term cointegration determination between the variables, Johansen cointegration analysis was performed. The presence of cointegration between the variables was determined in the cointegration test. The error correction model (VECM) was estimated based on the existence of a long-term relationship. Granger causality test was performed to determine the direction of the relationship between the variables. The causality analysis results reveal a bidirectional relationship between agricultural gross national product and agricultural exports in Turkey. The change in agricultural gross national product will also affect agricultural exports in an additional direction or the opposite. The growing importance of agriculture and supporting it in the economy will have a positive impact on the increase in national income.
URI: http://jbes.uludag.edu.tr/PDFDOSYALAR/41/mak01.pdf
http://hdl.handle.net/11452/21398
ISSN: 1307-9530
1308-2019
Appears in Collections:2020 Cilt 14 Sayı 41

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